With advances made in health and fitness,
and redefined roles on the field, it’s not surprising that athletes can perform
at a high level late into their careers. Shorter appearances and use in specific
situations has lightened the workload for relievers significantly, allowing
guys like Trevor Hoffman and Mariano Rivera to work into (and past) the age of
41. To me, Darren Oliver has been that old guy that happens to land on a
playoff roster, but compared to other pitchers at the age of 41, he is changing
that line of thinking, and cementing himself at the top of a few leaderboards.
As of this writing, he is leading all
qualified 41 year old relievers with an ERA of 1.40 and a K/9 rate of 9.09, and
only second behind Mariano Rivera in FIP (2.58) and WHIP (0.91). He is
currently allowing 2.09 walks and 0.47 home runs, which ranks seventh on the
list.
Year
|
ERA
|
Year
|
FIP
|
|||
Oliver
|
2012
|
1.40
|
Rivera
|
2011
|
2.19
|
|
Hoffman
|
2009
|
1.83
|
Oliver
|
2012
|
2.58
|
|
Fryman
|
1981
|
1.88
|
Wilhelm
|
1964
|
2.58
|
|
Rivera
|
2011
|
1.91
|
Hoffman
|
2009
|
2.63
|
|
Wilhelm
|
1964
|
1.99
|
Caldwell
|
1946
|
2.74
|
|
Caldwell
|
1946
|
2.08
|
Fryman
|
1981
|
2.79
|
|
Honeycutt
|
1995
|
2.96
|
Reed
|
1984
|
3.07
|
|
Reed
|
1984
|
3.08
|
Tekulve
|
1988
|
3.08
|
|
Kinder
|
1956
|
3.09
|
Kinder
|
1956
|
3.63
|
|
Hernandez
|
2006
|
3.11
|
McMahon
|
1971
|
3.76
|
|
Year
|
WHIP
|
Year
|
K/9
|
|||
Rivera
|
2011
|
0.90
|
Oliver
|
2012
|
9.08
|
|
Oliver
|
2012
|
0.91
|
Rivera
|
2011
|
8.80
|
|
Hoffman
|
2009
|
0.91
|
Brocail
|
2008
|
8.39
|
|
Wilhelm
|
1964
|
0.94
|
Hoffman
|
2009
|
8.00
|
|
Caldwell
|
1946
|
0.98
|
Orosco
|
1998
|
7.94
|
|
Honeycutt
|
1995
|
1.07
|
McMahon
|
1971
|
7.79
|
|
Timlin
|
2007
|
1.08
|
Jones
|
1998
|
7.49
|
|
Reed
|
1984
|
1.11
|
Eckersley
|
1996
|
7.35
|
|
Eckersley
|
1996
|
1.18
|
Reed
|
1984
|
7.03
|
|
Fryman
|
1981
|
1.21
|
Hernandez
|
2006
|
6.79
|
|
Year
|
HR/9
|
Year
|
BB/9
|
|||
Caldwell
|
1946
|
0.20
|
Eckersley
|
1996
|
0.90
|
|
Fryman
|
1981
|
0.21
|
Rivera
|
2011
|
1.17
|
|
Hoffman
|
2009
|
0.33
|
Reed
|
1984
|
1.73
|
|
Tekulve
|
1988
|
0.34
|
Jones
|
1998
|
1.79
|
|
Rivera
|
2011
|
0.44
|
Honeycutt
|
1995
|
1.97
|
|
Trucks
|
1958
|
0.44
|
Wilhelm
|
1964
|
2.06
|
|
Oliver
|
2012
|
0.47
|
Oliver
|
2012
|
2.09
|
|
Wilhelm
|
1964
|
0.48
|
Face
|
1969
|
2.28
|
|
Turner
|
1945
|
0.66
|
Timlin
|
2007
|
2.28
|
|
Hernandez
|
2006
|
0.71
|
Hoffman
|
2009
|
2.33
|
Even more impressive than the company he’s
keeping on those leaderboards are the numbers he’s been putting up since being
exclusively put to use in the bullpen in 2006.
Season
|
Team
|
Age
|
IP
|
ERA
|
FIP
|
WHIP
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
HR/9
|
WAR
|
2006
|
Mets
|
35
|
81.0
|
3.44
|
4.64
|
1.12
|
6.67
|
2.33
|
1.44
|
0.0
|
2007
|
Angels
|
36
|
64.1
|
3.78
|
3.78
|
1.26
|
7.13
|
3.22
|
0.70
|
0.7
|
2008
|
Angels
|
37
|
72.0
|
2.88
|
3.53
|
1.15
|
6.00
|
2.00
|
0.63
|
1.0
|
2009
|
Angels
|
38
|
73.0
|
2.71
|
3.32
|
1.14
|
8.01
|
2.71
|
0.62
|
1.5
|
2010
|
Rangers
|
39
|
61.2
|
2.48
|
2.64
|
1.10
|
9.49
|
2.19
|
0.58
|
1.6
|
2011
|
Rangers
|
40
|
51.0
|
2.29
|
2.77
|
1.14
|
7.76
|
1.94
|
0.53
|
1.3
|
2012
|
Blue
Jays
|
41
|
38.2
|
1.40
|
2.58
|
0.91
|
9.08
|
2.09
|
0.47
|
0.9
|
With fewer innings pitched season by
season, a declining ERA is to be expected, but what’s caught my eye are the
rising WAR and declining FIP. His per-nine stats are improving as well – since
2006, his K/9 rate has gone up from 6.67 (2006 league average 7.29) to 9.08 (2012
league average 8.33), and his HR/9 rate is three times lower, from 1.44 to 0.47.
He is currently leading the Blue Jays’
revolving door bullpen in WAR, and is sitting second in FIP behind newbie Aaron
Loup (2.15 FIP in 8.2 IP) which will change before long.
The Blue Jays have Oliver under contract
for this season at $4 M, and they hold a $3 M team option for next season with
a $500,000 buyout. Considering his current Fangraphs value is $4.1 M, and his
numbers are trending in the right direction, he stands to be a tremendous value
for the team next season, providing he doesn’t retire. Then again, disco
records sales were up 400% for the year ending 1976. If these trends continue…
a-y-y-y-y. Just three of the twenty-two qualifying relievers who pitched at 41
years old posted a lower FIP the following year. Only time will tell if he can
be the fourth.
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